Friday, May 1, 2009

Happy May!

So much for keeping up with this...sorry everyone. My life got a little hectic in the past month or so. Allow me to recap (then I'll get to Cubs stuff, I promise).

-I started rehearsals for a production of Beauty & The Beast - I'm the Beast. Take that for what you will.
-I've been doing a lot of foster care - now with two respite kids every other weekend instead of one.
-Work got pretty busy for a couple of weeks, though now its slowed down some.
-My Internet connection at home starting moving at a Pat Burrell-like pace. It's better now, thank you.
-And the biggie - I'm moving in August!

Yup, Kelly and I are leaving the North Shore of Boston (somewhat reluctantly, I might add), and heading west. West, you say? No, farther than that. Uh, this kind of west? No, that's a bit TOO far. By 'west', I mean the lovely town of Monongahela, PA. So I will not longer be a stranded Cub fan in New England - I'll be a stranded Cub fan in metro-Pittsburgh. (And judging by the look of things, I won't be alone - note the blue shirts in the stands). One major, huge advantage - not only are the Pirates in the NL (and therefore play the Cubs every year), they are also in the same division, meaning they play the Cubs 18 TIMES A YEAR. Mark it down - Cubs/Pirates, September 7-9 at PNC Park: I am so there.

As for the team in general...well, a 10-11 April is not exactly what I had in mind. Bradley picked up his second homer last night, but already has a nagging groin injury that you KNOW is going to land him on the DL soon. Aramis has an ouchie, Soto just came back, Lee is kind of banged up...you get the idea. I still think this offense will need some shaking up before the season is over. The pitching so far as been pretty good, although I'm concerned at the back end of the bullpen. (Hey, Lou? Kevin Gregg? Really??!!??) The Cardinals (as always) look like the stiffest competition in the division, but don't discount the Brew-Crew (especially if they go get Peavy) or the (*cough* *cough* *sputter*) reinvigorated Pirates. Why do I buy this early start? Because it's based on pitching, that's why. A bunch of young starters coming into their own at once can be a really good thing for a team. (Not that I need to remind anyone of that...yes, I just went there.)

On to May - let's hope the Cubbies get warm with the weather!

Wednesday, April 1, 2009

Happy April!

If you haven't seen it yet, check out the April Fool's joke on Gmail. Really funny stuff...

With opening day coming very soon, I decided to rip off...I mean, follow a really good idea I saw on boston.com, where a columnist created video previews of each Red Sox position. Why Cubs writers can't think of this kind of stuff is beyond me. And though I don't have the fancy-pants video stuff to work with like Maz at the Globe, I'm more than willing to give you, my valued readers (reader?) a position-by-position preview of the 2009 Cubs. So here we go!

Catcher: You've got to feel pretty good when your starting catcher, Geovany Soto, is the reigning NL Rookie of the Year. Of course, we had one of those before, and look how that turned out...yeesh. Hopefully Soto can avoid a sophomore slump, which is where Lou comes in. Yeah, Koyie Hill, the apparent backup, isn't anything to write home about, but you've got to give Geo some days off here and there, otherwise he'll start hitting like some old, washed-up backstop again. My guess is Lou does right by Geo, has him in 120 or so games instead of 141 like 2008, and he responds with similar numbers to last year (.283/23/86).

First Base: Ok, I get it - Derrek Lee is a great guy, an outstanding defensive presence, and hits home runs. Fine. If you were talking about the 2005 vintage, I'd agree with you and just sing his praises. However, it's 2009, and that season four years ago (when he hit .335/46/107 and contended for the MVP) is looking more and more like an anomaly. That's not to say his production in the last few years is bad - many teams would be thrilled with .300/20/90/.395 OBP and good defense. But let's not deify the guy, and let's not get up in a huff when his name is mentioned as potential trade bait. (If he's part of a package that gets, oh, I dunno, Jake Peavy and Adrian Gonzalez from San Diego, sign me up.) And PLEASE, for the love of all that's decent, stop calling him D-Lee?!?

Second Base: I've started to warm up to this whole Aaron Miles thing, even if he cuts off part of the Cajun Connection. I don't know squat about his defensive abilities, but he's a decent guy with a bat who also happens to switch hit. I'm guessing, however, that this spot will be in flux most of the year, depending on who's hurt or who's actually hitting. Both Mike Fontenot and Miles seem to get exposed after extended time in the lineup (check out the number of their at bats for evidence), so they may just shuffle in and out at Lou's whim. It'll be important to get something out of this spot, espeically at the bottom of the lineup. Don't rule out an upgrade during the season (though this guy is probably wishful thinking now).

Short Stop: Ryan Theriot makes me think of a poor man's Dustin Pedrioa, albeit Pedrioa is younger and has more power...ok, a VERY poor man's Dustin Pedroia. But Theroit does lots of things you'd want from a guy in the lead-off spot: he gets on base (.387 OBP), doesn't strike out much (58 last year), and steals a few bases (22, though he was caught 13 times). What he didn't do was score many runs (78). On a team that scored 5.32 runs a game, that surprised me a bit. Maybe he needs to work on his baserunning or something... Regardless, another year like the last one and the Cubs will be just fine.

Third Base: I remember the days when the immortal Vance Law played 3rd for the Cubs, and folks wondered if anyone would ever take up the mantle of Ron Santo. Enter Aramis Rameriez, as consistent an offensive player as you'll want at the position. (Defensively? Let's not go there, shall we?) The biggest concern is making sure he stays healthy and gets some time off. But you can usually mark him down for .300/35/110 if he's well, espeically in this line-up. And I REALLY need him to do that this year, as my fantasy team is counting on him...

I'll get to the rest later, but if you disagree please let me know.

Wednesday, March 25, 2009

Not a Cub, but an interesting question

In case you hid under a rock the last couple of days, Curt Schilling officially retired on Monday morning. It was a good idea - even if he was able to pitch, he'd lost his velocity, which makes the difference between his fastball and breaking pitches negligible, making him OK at best. And now the debate really begins - is Curt Schilling a Hall of Fame player?

Like most things with Schilling, this is controversial. Even Boston.com, the Internet mouthpiece of the Boston Globe, has writers with differing opinions. Schilling will never have to buy a meal in New England again based on his performance in 2004 alone, so I was kind of surprised the Boston sports writers didn't immediately put him up for deification.

OK, let's set out the argument - if you look at Schilling's career stats there's a lot to like and a lot to pick at, if you're thinking HOF. Stuff to like: 3.46 career ERA, 3116 strikeouts vs. 711 walks, for a K/W ratio of 4.38 (compare that ratio to Nolan Ryan's 2.04 and you'll get how significant that is). And then there's the postseason line: 11-2, 2.23 ERA, 120 strikeouts vs. 35 walks in 133.1 innings, good for a 3.43 K/W ratio. The man was money in the postseason (just ask the Yankees), and really remade himself late in his career.

Stuff to pick at: 216 career wins in 3261 innings, both of which are on the small end of things. He never won a Cy Young, though he finished 2nd three times. And I'm sorry, but you've got to point this out today: His three best strikeout seasons (1997, 2002, and 1998 respectively) came after he turned 30. I'm not sayin', I'm just sayin'...

Baseball-Reference.com says Schilling's biggest comparable player is Kevin Brown, which isn't exactly a ringing endorsement for HOF enshrinement. But he also compares well with HOFers Don Drysdale, Dazzy Vance, and Catfish Hunter, along with soon-to-be HOFer John Smoltz (minus the relief stats, of course).

I'm an admitted elitest when it comes to things like the Hall of Fame. In my mind, the Hall of Fame is for the greatest players of all time, not the best in their era. So, one question I'd ask is this: Could I take Curt Schilling in his prime, drop him into Game 7 of the World Series against the All-Century Team line-up and have him come out with a win? Another question: Could I take Curt Schilling, drop him into a Washington Senators uniform in a meaningless August game against the '27 Yankees and have him succeed? Basically, does he stack up against the best of the best all time?

Honestly I'm undecided about this. No question, Schilling is on my short list of players I'd want starting a game my life depended on it's outcome. Does that make him Hall worthy? Does longevity matter? Sure, he denied ever using steroids, but so has everyone until they got caught. Knowing Schilling through the media, do you think he wouldn't have looked that way? I dunno...

So what do you think? Does Curt Schilling belong in the Hall of Fame? I'd love to hear what you think.

(By the way, when Schilling was an unsigned free agent after 2007, I thought the Cubs should sign him. Glad they didn't listen to me...)

Monday, March 23, 2009

Not a lot of note here

Things seem quiet in Mesa and Wrigleyville - no major injuries, spring training games rolling along, guys getting in game shape - so I thought I'd take a trip in the way-back machine and bring up one of my favorite Cub players who seems to have left the reservation: Mark Grace.

Most Cub fans of the late 80s and 90's know about Grace and his career. He was one of those guys you dropped into the 5th spot or so in the order and forgot about, until the season ended and he had put up another .300/15/85 line with 30 or 40 doubles, 170 or so hits, and excellent defense at first. (Don't believe me? Check it out.) He topped out in 1995 with .326/16/92, 180 hits and 51 doubles, good enough for an all star appearance and a Gold Glove (one of four). I was glad to see him head to Arizona and win a World Series, but really hoped that would be just a stop-off on his way back to Chicago. Alas, it doesn't seem to be in the cards, as the Cubs are happy with milk-toast announcers on TV and happy-go-lucky guys on the radio. (No offense to the Santo is Awesome group out there...)

There was some debate as to whether Grace should be in the Hall of Fame, but I agree with the linked article. If there were an Honorable Mention wing he'd be there in a second, but the stats just don't add up. (Andre Dawson? That's a different matter, but I digress...) More than the stats, though, he just came across as an aw shucks kind of player. He played hard and played right but he PLAYED - remember his pitching exploits in a 19-1 laugher? (More on that here - it's worth remembering.)

There's something to be said for a player like Grace; low maintenance, solid productivity, great clubhouse guy, and willing to not take himself too seriously. Wish the Cubs had some folks like that now! (Not to mention his left handed bat...) I have happy memories of watching Grace on lazy summer days while Harry Caray talked about some new restaurant he'd found on Wabash Ave.

Got any similar memories of non-superstar players? Add a comment and let me know. It's nice to think about on cold March days.

Tuesday, March 10, 2009

Back from Florida...

...and none to happy about it.

Got to see three Red Sox spring training games, which was quite fun. Baseball in March is just a good thing.

Oh, and si.com finally got their Cubs camp postcard done. My impression? It was pretty fair. It's easy to forget the Cubs actually won 97 games last year. I take issue with the idea that they simply had a bad week against the Dodgers, though - LA's pitching staff was perfectly suited to neutralize the Cubs' bats, Lou rode his big boppers WAY too hard during the season, and Manny Rameriez was simply that locked in. It could've been a 15 game series and the Dodgers probably would've won. Just a horrible match-up all around.

One final thought - it seems everyone is being very quick to write off Kosuke Fukudome as a bust. Do folks realize that last year was his first in the Majors??? He had the inevitable culture shock, then made the mistake of having a great April, so the entire city annointed him the Next Great Savior. When his holes got exposed (it was gonna happen) and he wore down (also predictable), it seems everyone just assumed he was done. Now he's looking to platoon in center with Reed Johnson? I don't think he'll be a superstar, but don't be shocked at something like .280/20/75, depending on how many at-bats he gets and where he hits in the lineup. The guy's got talent...just you wait.

Man, I can't wait for the real games to start!!!

Tuesday, March 3, 2009

Greetings from Florida!

While New England is covered in one kind of white stuff, I've been happily playing in another kind of white stuff. Yup, I'm in Fort Myers, home of my lovely aunt and uncle (hooray for free lodging) and spring training for the Boston Red Sox and Minnesota Twins. So far I've been to two games - one on Sunday, which the Sox won 2-1, and one today, which, when I left at the end of the 7th, the Sox trailed 9-5.

Spring training baseball is a very different animal than the regular season, especially for teams like the Sox and Cubs. The usual angst, anger, and arrogance is replaced by an easy-going enjoyment of the game. Honestly, you end up rooting for the shirts, if you root at all, because by the 5th inning the players are all guys you've never heard of or who are ticketed for exotic locales like Rochester, Des Moines, and Pawtucket.

From a baseball perspective, I would much rather be in Mesa. I've actually never been to spring training in Arizona, though I've vacationed there twice in the past few years. The first time I actually saw the Cubs opening series against the D-Backs (got some really nice pictures of Greg Maddux's change-up grip - when I'm home I'll try and find them), which was very cool. They even lost, completing the experience. But, baseball in March is good no matter where it is, so I'm happy to be here.

Maybe next year I'll get to hit some Cactus League games instead of the Grapefruit Leauge.

Thursday, February 19, 2009

Quick update

No real news to report - I just figured I should put something up to let people know I'm still alive.

I'm actually heading to Florida next week to see a few Red Sox spring training games and enjoy temps in the 70s in March. (One thing Chicago and New England have in common, anyway - February just sucks.) No, it's not the Cubs, but I'll take what I can get.

Oh - did you see the blip about Alfonso Soriano possibly moving out of the leadoff spot? Man, I got my hopes up for a bit. I think Soriano should absolutely NOT be leading off for this or any team. I ranted about this a while back on Facebook, but suffice it to say that I'm enough of a Sabermetric-head to believe OBP is actually important for a lead off man, more so than solo homers. Feel free to argue with me, but I think the coddling has got to stop with him. Move him down, Lou!

Until next time...can't wait until I have games to write about.

Wednesday, February 11, 2009

Thoughts on offseason moves

So here's the first 'serious' baseball post. The Cubs were rather busy this offseason, so I wanted to give my thoughts and grades for each of their moves. So here they are, in the order they happened. (Oh, and I got most of my information from the Cubs web site - just look in the press releases.)

Resigned P Ryan Dempster, 4 yrs, $52 million: In light of how the free agent market went, I kind of wish they had waited longer to make this deal. Dempster had a great 2008, and seems to have the make-up and stuff to keep it up, but he probably could have been had for cheaper. I can't downgrade Jim Hendry for failing to be a psychic, though, and this was a nice match of player and team who wanted to be together. B

Trade P Jose Ceda for Florida P Kevin Gregg:
This trade basically said, "Thanks for the memories, Kerry." Gregg's an ok reliever, but reminds me of Joe Borowski before his elbow blew up - lots of heart, not a lot of stuff. I hate to give up guys like Ceda, though, especially for the Gregg's of the world. C

Resigned P Chad Gaudin, P Neil Cotts, OF Reed Johnson to 1 year deals:
Mostly depth signings, though all will probably see significant playing time. Guadin could be a very important set-up guy this year. B+

Sign OF Joey Gathright to 1 year deal:
Jim Edmonds 2.0? Here's hoping the KC reject can resurrect his career. I'm ok with a platoon of Gathright, Johnson and Fukudome in center this year, but it doesn't excite me long-term. C+

Trade IF/OF Mark DeRosa for Cleveland Ps Jeff Stevens, John Gaub, and Chris Archer:
This one stung. I understand needing to clear out some position players, especially ones that bat righthanded, but did you have to give up DeRosa? Besides having a fine offensive year he could play almost anywhere. The lack of flexible player like DeRosa will come back to haunt the Cubs, mark my words. The pu-pu platter of Indian pitchers doesn't excite me, either. Right idea - wrong guy (I would've shopped Soriano, hard.) D

Sign IF Aaron Miles to 2 year deal:
He's not Mark DeRosa. Period. He'll be an ok 2nd basemen and does hit left handed, but it's a definite downgrade. And why did you have to give him two years? (At least he pitches once in while...) C

Trade P Jason Marquis and $ for Colorado P Jose Vizcaino:
This, I like. Marquis fancies himself a Cy Young candidate. Apparently his actual performances have failed to pop that delusion of grandeur. Good luck in the thin air of Colorado! I also like how Hendry is stockpiling bullpen arms. Apparently he realizes his rotation is fra-gi-le (must be Italian). A solid and deep bullpen can mitigate that risk, at least somewhat. Nice trade here. B+

Sign OF Milton Bradley for 3 yrs, $30 M:
Here's Hendry swinging for the fences. Best case scenario: Bradley keeps his cool, plays in 140+ games, and hits .325 with 35-40 HRs and 100-120 RBIs. Worst case scenarios: Bradley loses his temper, starts pouting, and ends up on the bench. OR he pulls his hammy/groin/calf/bicep/gluteous maximus and lands on the DL for half the year. Which are you getting? No one really knows, and that's where my beef with this deal lies. Why go after such a high risk player, when Bobby Abreu is hanging around for about the same price, without the injury concerns, and solid production from the left side of the plate? A team this close to contending needs a sure thing, not a roll of the dice. I really hope Bradley works out for them, because he can be a force and could allow the Cubs to trade some other hitters at the trade deadline, if need be (cough, Soriano, cough). History suggests this won't end well, though. Like the DeRosa trade, right idea, wrong guy. C-

Trade OF Felix Pie for Baltimore Ps Garrett Olson and Henry Williamson:
Another center fielder of the future bites the dust. Honestly, this has been going on since Jerome Freakin' Walton! Olson and Williamson? Eh, depth for the system, I guess. Good luck in Baltimore, Felix. C

Trade P Michael Weurtz Oakland OF Richie Robnett and IF Justin Sellers:
Guess there is such a thing as too many bullpen arms. Give Hendry credit - he is trying to stock/restock his farm system, but all he's got so far are a bunch of midling prospects. Better than nothing, I suppose. C

Trade P Garrett Olson and IN Ronny Cedeno for Seattle P Aaron Heilman:
Garrett, we hardly knew ye! Did he even get a Cubs uni? I liked Cedeno, too, but he's never going to hit for much, and happens to be righthanded, making him expendable. I don't know what to think of Heilman, honestly. His change is nasty, but he's a two-pitch pitcher who wants to start. That usually doesn't go well, but if he can develop a servicable third pitch, he could be a steal. Low risk, high potential here - a nice trade, I think. B

Trade P Rich Hill for Baltimore player to be named:
I feel for Rich, especially as he's a New Englander. He's got a bunch of talent but either hurt his back or his head's not on straight. I'm not sure the AL East is the place to try and straighten oneself out, especially if you're a pitcher, but best of luck to him. Classic change of scenery trade for Chicago. I like tying the player to be named to Hill's performance, by the way. C

Overall I'm skeptical. The outfield makes me nervous, and the starters are mostly injuries waiting to happen. The bullpen looks solid, except I'm not sure how Marmol will fare as a closer and I don't trust Gregg to pick up the slack if need be. I really think DeRosa will be missed badly - you just don't find utility guys who can hit like him terribly often. All in all, I give the offseason a C+. I don't think this team is better than last year's version, at least not right now. (Now, go get Jake Peavy and my opinion changes dramatically...)

What do you think?

Tuesday, February 10, 2009

Intro and Explanation

Hi everyone (whoever that might be). I'm Chris, I live on the North Shore of Massachusetts (just north of Boston), am about to turn 31, and since as long as I can remember I've been a die-hard, bleed-royal-blue fan of the Chicago Cubs.

To answer some of the common questions I get when I tell people this:
-No, I did not grow up in Chicago, or anywhere in the Midwest. I actually grew up in northern Maine.
-Yes, I do realize I'm in the heart of Red Sox Nation, and do follow the Sox.
-If the Cubs and Sox play each other (as they did in 2004), I wholeheartedly root for the Cubs. No reservations.
-Yes, I'm a sick human being. :-)

So how did this happen? It's pretty simple - growing up in northern Maine in the 80s, my parents actually sprung for cable TV, but only the 'basic' package. So we got ESPN, MTV, TBS, and most importantly for this exercise, WGN from Chicago. What we didn't get was NESN, the New England station that carried most Red Sox games. Hence, I didn't grow up watching the Red Sox of Jim Rice, Rich Gedman and Calvin Schiraldi (though he did actually pitch for the Cubs in 1988 and part of 89.)

I was the only real sports fan in my house at that time, and also had a 9:00pm bedtime. So late games were basically out, as my siblings and parents wanted to watch TV after 7:00 and I had to go to bed in the 6th inning anyway. But during the afternoons, WGN carried every Cubs game. So I spent summer after summer listening to Harry Carey and Steve Stone talk about the mostly horrific teams of the late 80s and 90s. I got to see Ryne Sandberg and Mark Grace, the Shawon-O-Meter, and Greg Maddux when he could actually throw 90 mph.

I became a rarity - a big baseball fan in New England who didn't really root for the Sawx. I cared about them to some extent, but not like the die-hards. (I can watch this clip and laugh, for example - scroll down, you'll see it. This one, however? It still turns my stomach...) And though I know I'm not completely alone, or at least I think I'm not, I think I've got a little different prespective on the whole Cub fandom thing. And as I've mentioned doing something like this for a while now, and spring training is soon to be here, I figured I'd just go for it and keep a blog of a year in the life of Cub fandom in Red Sox Nation.

I'll update the layout and all that as time goes on, but that's it for now. Feel free to post comments and recommendations for things you think are interesting and relavant. I make no promises about how often I'll update this, but hopefully it'll be pretty regular.

GO CUBS!